Estate Shadow Demand Outweighs it’s Shadow Inventory
Quit your yapping about how strong the real estate market is, Simonsen. It’s a fake rally. There is no actual demand.
That’s the bearish argument I’ve been hearing lately. I’m not buying it.
For years we’ve been watching the phenomenon of “Shadow Inventory” of potential homes that need to be sold, and looking for impact on the market.
This set of underwater or distressed properties is now shrinking rapidly. The number of homes with underwater mortgages fell by nearly two million
last year. According to the Fed, home price gains of 10% will be enough to move 40% of underwater borrowers back above water. These home sellers are highly likely to buy another home in the same or comparable market,